Private sector hiring was a bit better than expected in February, though most of the job creation came from just two sectors, ADP reported Wednesday.
Companies added a seasonally adjusted 63,000 workers during the month, an improvement from the downwardly revised 11,000 in January and better than the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 48,000, according to the payrolls processing firm’s latest update.
Though the total beat expectations, the issue of breadth continued to be a problem for the labor market.
Education and health services, an industry that has been the primary driver for job creation, added 58,000 jobs for the month, easily leading all sectors. After that, construction contributed 19,000, with the two industries offsetting stagnant growth across most other sectors.
Professional and business services saw a decline of 30,000 positions, manufacturing lost 5,000 and trade, transportation and utilities was off 1,000. Other than a gain of 11,000 in information services, there was little movement elsewhere. Manufacturing continued to decline despite President Donald Trump’s efforts to use tariffs to reshore jobs in the industry.
On the wage side, pay grew 4.5% for those staying in their jobs, unchanged from January. However, the wage gains for job switchers moved down to 6.3%, a 0.3 percentage point decline from the prior month. Those results reduced the incentive for changing jobs to the lowest level since ADP began tracking the metric.
“We’ve seen an increase in hiring and pay gains remain solid, especially for job-stayers,” said ADP chief economist Nela Richardson. “But with hiring concentrated in only a few sectors, our data shows no widespread pay benefit from changing jobs.”
In a switch from recent months, job creation was concentrated at businesses with fewer than 50 employees. That group saw gains of 60,000, while big businesses with 500 or more workers added 10,000 and medium-sized firms reported a drop of 7,000.
Job growth has taken a step down over the past year as the Trump administration has clamped down on illegal immigration and as the pace of post-Covid hiring has slowed. While companies have been reluctant to add workers, layoffs have remained low as well.
The report comes with questions over the state of the labor market as well as worries about stubbornly higher inflation, the latter coming even more into view with the fighting in Iran and the Middle East.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Wednesday in a CNBC interview that the ongoing increase in construction jobs is the result of a “technology-driven productivity boom” that will have broader ramifications for the economy.
“I am very, very bullish on the jobs market this year,” Bessent said.
Recent statements from Federal Reserve officials indicate somewhat higher confidence that the jobs picture is stabilizing. At the same time, worries are increasing that a bump in oil prices will drive inflation higher. Traders are now indicating the next Fed interest rate cut won’t come until at least July and have lowered the probability for a second cut this year, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tracker.
The ADP release precedes Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Wall Street is looking for a February increase of 50,000 jobs from the report, which unlike ADP also includes government hiring. Economists expect the unemployment rate to hold steady at 4.3%.
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